The 2012 French Open Men’s Quarter-Finals Round will begin today. The 1st two quarter-final match-ups are today and the next two quarter-final match-ups are on Wednesday in the men’s draw. I expected the men’s draw to be top heavy and the top seeds have advanced in the 2012 French Open, which means that the next two days should provide some great tennis action.
2012 French Open: Men’s Quarterfinals Odds
- Novak Djokovic 1.20 vs. Jo-Wilfried Tsonga 5.29
- Roger Federer 1.35 vs. Juan Martin Del Potro 3.62
- Rafael Nadal 1.05 vs. Nicolas Almagro 14.80
- David Ferrer 1.58 vs. Andy Murray 2.59
2012 French Open: Men’s Quarterfinals Previews
• Novak Djokovic vs. Jo-Wilfried Tsonga
The world’s #1 Novak Djokovic was almost upset in the 4th round against #22 Andreas Seppi. Djokovic had 81 unforced errors and after losing the first two sets he had to make a huge comeback to win the next three sets. Novak hasn’t won the French Open in his career and he has looked shaky this week. The H2H stats between these two are even, but Djokovic has the recent edge.
Earlier this year in Rome Djokovic beat Tsonga 2-0 on clay and he’s a big favourite to win again. The Frenchman has never been to the quarter-finals in the French Open before and will have some pressure. Tsonga looked good at times in his 4th round match against Wawrinka, but he did need 5 sets to win after losing sets 3 and 4.
Djokovic vs. Tsonga Prediction: Djokovic will win this match, but Tsonga should prove tough to beat. I think the best bet in this match is to bet on the O36 or if you want to risk a bit more you can bet O3.5 sets.
• Roger Federer vs. Juan Martin Del Potro
This match-up intrigues me because it has the potential to go either way. Federer is the world’s 3rd ranked tennis player, but he hasn’t been showing that at the 2012 French Open. The level of competition he has faced has been very poor and he shouldn’t have struggled in his earlier matches like he did. The good news is Federer has owned Del Potro in H2H match-ups (11-2).
Since Del Potro has been back from injury he has had trouble against Federer as well. Del Potro has played Federer 5 times since returning from an injury back in 2010 and Del Potro hasn’t even won a single set off Federer. Roger has been able to utilize his serve against Del Potro in past matches and I think Del Potro will struggle trying to break Federer’s serve.
Federer vs. Del Potro Prediction: Del Potro has looked great at the French Open this week. He beat Cilic and Berdych with ease in 7 total sets (3rd & 4th Rounds), but I don’t think he’ll have an answer for Federer today.
• Rafael Nadal vs. Nicolas Almagro
Rafael Nadal has stolen the show at the 2012 French Open up to this point. Nadal has owned the French Open, as he has won the last 2 in a row and the past 6 of 7 (Federer won in 2009). Nadal hasn’t lost a set at the 2012 French Open and sportsbooks have been offering odds on whether he’ll lose a set the entire tournament.
I think Nadal will definitely lose a set this tournament, but it might not happen in the quarter-finals. Nadal has a 7-0 H2H record against Almagro, but they haven’t played since the 2012 French Open QF. In that match Nadal won 3-0 in straight sets and you can expect more of the same on Wednesday.
Nadal vs. Almagro Prediction: I think that Nadal will win, but I’m not betting on this tennis match. The ML on Nadal is huge and even betting on Nadal to win 3-0 has 1.33 odds, which isn’t worth betting in my opinion.
• Andy Murray vs. David Ferrer
Andy Murray (#4) may be ranked higher than David Ferrer (#6) in the world tennis rankings, but Ferrer is the favourite coming into this 2012 French Open QF match and the odds have been drifting higher since being released. Ferrer is in the same boat as Nadal heading into the quarterfinals, as Ferrer hasn’t lost a set in the French Open this year either.
Ferrer is one of my favourite clay tennis players, but the value on him has been horrible lately. Murray has been cruising through the rounds this week, but he hasn’t looked that good. Basquet took an early 1-0 set lead over Murray in the 4th round, but Andy rallied back to win the next 3 sets. This should be the most competitive QF match-up although they all should be good.
Murray vs. Ferrer Prediction: Murray is 5-4 in the H2H battle between these two top players, but on clay courts Ferrer is 3-0 against Murray and that’s why I’m betting on the favourite. Ferrer is my top prediction out of the QF round in the men’s draw.