My predictions went 9-3-1 last week and my overall record on the season is now 53-45-4. This week I’ll be looking to keep the run going and want to try and hit 10 wins for the first time this season in a single week. I’ve made my predictions for each game this week plus I’ve posted the latest point spread odds and game total odds, which you can view in the table below.
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NFL Week 8 2012: Point Spread & Game Total Odds
|Away Team||Away Spread||Home Spread||Home Team||Over/Under|
|Away Team||Away Spread||Home Spread||Home Team||Over/Under|
|Tampa Bay Buccaneers||+6 (-110)||-6 (-110)||Minnesota Vikings||O/U 42.5|
|New England Patriots||-6.5 (-120)||+6.5 (+100)||St. Louis Rams||O/U 47|
|Indianapolis Colts||+3.5 (-115)||-3.5 (-105)||Tennessee Titans||O/U 46.5|
|Jacksonville Jaguars||+15.5 (-110)||-15.5 (-110)||Green Bay Packers||O/U 45.5|
|San Diego Chargers||-2.5 (-120)||+2.5 (+100)||Cleveland Browns||O/U 44|
|Atlanta Falcons||+2.5 (+100)||-2.5 (-120)||Philadelphia Eagles||O/U 45|
|Seattle Seahawks||+2 (-110)||-2 (-110)||Detroit Lions||O/U 43.5|
|Miami Dolphins||+2.5 (-110)||-2.5 (-110)||New York Jets||O/U 41|
|Carolina Panthers||+7.5 (-115)||-7.5 (-105)||Chicago Bears||O/U 43|
|Washington Redskins||+4.5 (-110)||-4.5 (-110)||Pittsburgh Steelers||O/U 47.5|
|Oakland Raiders||-2 (-110)||+2 (-110)||Kansas City Chiefs||O/U 41.5|
|New York Giants||-2 (-110)||+2 (-110)||Dallas Cowboys||O/U 47.5|
|New Orleans Saints||+6 (-110)||-6 (-110)||Denver Broncos||O/U 55.5|
|San Francisco 49ers||-6.5 (-110)||+6.5 (-110)||Arizona Cardinals||O/U 37.5|
Predictions & Best Bets for NFL Week 8
• Tampa Bay Buccaneers +6 (-110) vs. Minnesota Vikings -6 (-110) – Pick: Buccaneers +6
This point spread was a TD earlier in the week, but it’s now down to just +6 points. The Buccaneers can stop the run and that is what you need to do to beat the Vikings. Ponder can’t throw the football and with the way Freeman is playing for the TB lately I wouldn’t be surprised if Tampa won the game, but rather than bet the ML I’d take the +6 points for some security.
• New England Patriots -6.5 (-120) vs. St. Louis Rams +6.5 (+100) – Pick: Patriots -6.5
This game is being played in London this weekend, so the Rams won’t have the home edge this week. The Patriots still have one of the best offences in the NFL with Tom Brady and the Rams haven’t played well away from home this year. With this being in London I expect the Patriots to try and put on a good show and we know Belichick doesn’t mind running up the score.
• Indianapolis Colts +3.5 (-115) vs. Tennessee Titans -3.5 (-105) – Pick: Titans -3.5
The Colts and Titans both won last weekend. The Titans won on a last minute TD while the Colts held on to beat the Browns at home to move to 3-3 on the season. Tennessee scored plenty of points last week, as Johnson finally had a big game and I think he should have another one against the weak Colts run defence. Colts also struggle mightily on the road, so take the favourite.
• Jacksonville Jaguars +15.5 (-110) vs. Green Bay Packers -15.5 (-110) – Pick: Packers -15.5
I’d avoid betting this game because the point spread is so high, but you have to lean towards the Packers with MJD injured. Jennings should keep the chains moving a bit for the Jaguars, but the Packers at home are a tough team to play. I think Rodgers will look to pad his stats and this one could get ugly quickly.
• San Diego Chargers -2.5 (-120) vs. Cleveland Browns +2.5 (+100) – Pick: Chargers -2.5
San Diego has lost their last two games and now sit behind the Broncos in the AFC West. Cleveland is still just 1-6 and there year is over already. The Chargers need to make the playoffs this year or the franchise is going to be turned upside down. After they blew a huge lead against Denver in week 6 before their bye I expect the Chargers to beat up on the lowly Browns on the road.
• Atlanta Falcons +2.5 (+100) vs. Philadelphia Eagles -2.5 (-120) – Pick: Falcons +2.5
You can bet on the Falcons at +2.5 or take the moneyline if you want at +123. I think the Falcons will win this week. They’ve been good on the road all season and the Eagles haven’t been playing great at all. The Eagles and Falcons both had their bye week in week 7, so both teams should be rested. The Falcons won’t stay undefeated all year, but I think they’ll beat the Eagles.
• Seattle Seahawks +2 (-110) vs. Detroit Lions -2 (-110) – Pick: Lions -2
Detroit lost on MNF to the Bears this past week and now plays the Seahawks who lost on TNF to the 49ers. Seattle is 1-3 on the road this season and while the Lions have been bad they need this win. The Lions are at home for just the 3rd time this year and while they’re just 1-1 at home I think they get the job done this week as long as they limit silly mistakes in the redzone.
• Miami Dolphins +2.5 (-110) vs. New York Jets -2.5 (-110) – Pick: Dolphins +2.5
I think the wrong team is favoured in this match-up. The Dolphins lost on the road to the Jets last year, but then they won big at home later in the season. This year the Dolphins lost at home to the Jets in OT and I think they’ll get revenge. The Dolphins have been playing great football. They won there last two games before they had their bye last week. If Bush has a big game they win.
• Carolina Panthers +7.5 (-115) vs. Chicago Bears -7.5 (-105) – Pick: Panthers +7.5
This point spread seems a little high. The Bears barely escaped with a home win against the Lions on MNF and now they’re even bigger of a favourite this week against the Panthers. Newton has been struggling, but the Panthers defence has stepped up the last two games and have kept their team in the game. I think the Panthers score enough to stay within the spread this week.
• Washington Redskins +4.5 (-110) vs. Pittsburgh Steelers -4.5 (-110) – Pick: Redskins +4.5
I really think that this is going to be a close game that comes down to the wire. The Steelers barely beat the Bengals last week and the Bengals could barely move the football. The Redskins will be able to score points on the Steelers this week and I think the one dimensional Steelers offence is going to have trouble moving the football against the Redskins.
• Oakland Raiders +2 (-110) vs. Kansas City Chiefs -2 (-110) – Pick: Raiders +2
The Chiefs have really been struggling and I don’t think the bye week will help them much. The Chiefs have lost their L3 games and now need to play a division game against their rivals. The Chiefs can only run the football and the Raiders haven’t been too bad at stopping the run (13th in NFL). If they stack the box and shutdown Charles the Raiders will have a chance to win SU.
• New York Giants -2 (-110) vs. Dallas Cowboys +2 (-110) – Pick: Cowboys +2
Dallas beat the Giants in week 1 on the road and now get a chance to beat them at home. Dallas has played well the L2 weeks and they should continue playing well now that they’re back at home. The Giants are banged up a bit right now and I expect the Cowboys defence to shutdown Eli Manning with their 3rd ranked passing defence. I’m taking the home underdog here.
• New Orleans Saints +6 (-110) vs. Denver Broncos -6 (-110) – Pick: Saints +6
Denver had a bye last week and now hosts the Saints who picked up a road win against TB last week. The Broncos seem to go down in every game early and the Saints offence is one that can put up points quickly. The Saints defence is suspect, but the -6 point spread seems high. The Saints are desperate for wins at this stage and I think they’ll keep it close against Denver.
• San Francisco 49ers -6.5 (-110) vs. Arizona Cardinals +6.5 (-110) – Pick: Cardinals +6.5
This is a tough game to predict on MNF this week. The Cardinals at home have been great despite losing to the Bills in OT. I think with the Cardinals getting almost a TD at home you have to take them. The 49ers have had a few extra days to prepare, but they haven’t been looking that good either the past couple weeks. I expect a low scoring game and +6.5 is too many points.