Match #24: Sweden vs. France Predictions
Sweden is already eliminated in Group D, but the national team will still be playing for pride tomorrow against Les Bleus in the final group stage match at Euro 2012. The French are basically assured a spot in the QF’s, but if they don’t want to face Spain in the quarter-finals they still have some work to do against a Swedish lacking in any sort of confidence.
Sweden Tournament Recap (0-0-2)
Zlatan Ibrahimovic held a recent press conference and stated that he wants to continue playing for the national team and that he wants to bring some points back home to Sweden. With the Swedes sitting at 0-0-2 in Group D the only chance they’ll have to bring a point/s is with a draw or win against the French tomorrow. The problem for Sweden has been defending for a full match.
France Tournament Recap (1-1-0)
France has done well to position themselves for the QF’s. A win would help France try to secure 1st place in Group A, but even if they lose they should qualify due to goal differential. Benzema was supposed to lead the French, but he has been held scoreless and other players have had to score the goals. In France’s last game Menez and Cabaye both scored in their 2-0 win over Ukraine.
Sweden vs. France Match Odds
- Sweden: 6.50 Best Odds at BetVictor
- France: 1.64 Best Odds at 188Bet
- Draw: 3.90 Best Odds at BetVictor
Sweden vs. France Betting Tips
- France vs. Sweden to Draw at 3.90 odds (BetVictor)
I like the value on the draw in this match for several reasons that I’ll discuss. First of all, there is no value on betting the French at these odds because they can guarantee a spot in the QF’s with a draw or win. Sweden has had some bright spots at Euro 2012 in their two matches, but they have been unable to close out matches with defence.
Sweden took the lead in both of their opening matches, but they ended up losing both of those matches. There is no pressure on the Swedes now that they’re eliminated and I think they’ll fight hard for any points in this match. Benzema has been in poor form upfront for France and that should take some of the pressure off of Swede’s back line.
France has only lost once in their L7 competitive matches and has looked in good form at Euro 2012. Goals are always a bit of a struggle for France though and this match could be a low scoring draw. Sweden has shown touches of brilliance upfront and I think both teams will score 1 goal apiece tomorrow.
France vs. Sweden Best Bets
These two nations have played each other H2H a total of 10 times with France holding a 5-4-1 overall record. Sweden has only beaten the French once back in 1969 at a WC qualification match, but they have drawn 4 times. In the 10 matches these two nations have averaged 2.2 goals per match combined and 4 of L5 matches have gone under the 2.5 goals total.
My best bet for this match is the U2.5 goals, which you can back at 2.00 odds at BetVictor. There haven’t been many promos yet for this match announced, but keep an eye on Paddy Power near match time for various +EV multiples that they offer.