We are days away from the start of the 21st English Premier League season (2012-13).
Our first week’s review can be found here, and below you will find our round up of last season, who to watch out for for the golden boot and what teams are likely to fight out relegation.
After the incredible battle at the top of the 2011-12 EPL table between Manchester United and Manchester City fans can’t wait for the new season to begin.
Throughout the 2012-13 EPL season we’ll be providing our analysis on the match-ups, but before that we thought we’d take a look at the upcoming season and take a look back on the previous season. With lots of transfers still taking place we’ll be updating our season preview until the end of the 1st transfer window.
2012-13 English Premier League Winner & Relegation Odds
|Team||Winner Odds||Relegation Odds|
2012-13 English Premier League Futures Preview
Manchester City and Manchester United both finished with 89 points last season in the English Premier League, but City ended up winning the title on goal differential, which was their 1st title in the English First Division since 1967-68. Man City hasn’t made any moves yet this off-season, but the team is still the early favourite to win their 2nd consecutive EPL title at 2.30 odds (188Bet).
Manchester United already had two new players coming to the team this season including Shinji Kagawa and Nick Powell. Shinji is coming over from the Bundesliga for €15M and the attacker will make the United attack stronger. And now that they have added Van Persie to their arsenal, pardon the pun, it will be interesting to see how much they shorten to win the EPL this season.
United are priced at 3.75 (Bwin) right now to be crowned the 2012-13 EPL Champions and these odds will shorten now they have signed the talented Dutchman.
It will be interesting to see how this affects the golden boot betting markets also, I was in Rooney’s camp before this announcement and I think I still am. I think Van Persie might play behind Rooney and combined provide some pretty good scoring power with Rooney probably benefiting from a bit less heat and the added danger Van Persie will present around goal.
The sportsbooks, however, think this season will be another battle between the two top teams in London. Chelsea who was just crowned the winners of the Champions League last season after beating Bayern Munich is priced at 6.00 (Bet365). Chelsea went out and spent €40M on 21-year old sensation Eden Hazard who is expected to make an immediate impact now that Drogba departed.
Chelsea only finished in 6th place on the EPL table last season with a final record of 18-10-10. Chelsea should be able to improve this season and I think they should be able to finish in the T3 in 2012-13. Di Matteo is a great coach in my opinion and I’m glad he was signed a 2-year deal to continue working Chelsea with the hopes of bringing home more silverware.
No other team is priced under double digits right now in the 2012-13 English Premier League futures market. Arsenal finished the previous season with 70 points and finished in 3rd place overall on the EPL table, but they were 19 points behind the leader. Right now punters can bet on Arsenal winning the EPL at 13.00 (888Sport).
Arsenal is most likely going to lose the golden boot winner from last season (Robert Van Persie), but Arsenal already went out and signed two new attackers including Olivier Giroud (€15M) from Montpellier and Lucas Podolski (€13M) from Koln. If Arsenal do lose their top striker before the season starts they have two new additions that will be counted on immensely to score goals.
2012-13 English Premier League Relegation Preview
The relegation battle this season should be more exciting to watch than the top of the table. There are currently 10 teams that are priced under double digits in the 2012-13 EPL relegation market. Last season the three teams that were relegated include the Bolton Wanderers, Blackburn Rovers and Wolverhampton Wanderers.
The three teams that received promotion into the English Premier League this season include West Ham United, Reading and Southampton. Reading are priced at 2.10 (Ladbrokes) to be relegated and they’re the favourites right now. I think at the current odds betting on Reading to be relegated right after promotion is a good bet, as the team isn’t that strong.
Pavel Pogrebnyak who is an attacker from Russia received his work permit and will be playing with the Royals this season. This is a great signing for McDermott and Reading, but I still think they’ll be near the bottom of the table all season. West Ham will be back in the EPL this season after a one year hiatus and they’re priced at 3.30 (188Bet) to be relegated.
The bookmakers don’t think West Ham will be relegated this season, as 5 teams are priced lower than them. West Ham is a good team and they should be able to earn enough points this season to remain in the EPL. Norwich City, Wigan and Swansea were all in the EPL last season and each of those teams are priced lower than West Ham to be relegated right now.
Some punters have been betting on QPR and Aston Villa to be relegated, but these picks are going to be tough to cash. Both of these two squads struggled last season and were both almost eliminated. Aston Villa had 38 points and finished in 16th place last season while the Rangers finished the season with 37 points, which was good for a 17th place finish.
QPR has signed several additional players this season to the team and they also received defender Fabio Da Silva on loan from Manchester United. Da Silva is a great young player that should get good playing time with QPR. If anything I like QPR will be able to improve this season. Aston Villa looks like they’ll struggle again in 2012-13 and they’re a good bet at 9.00 (BetVictor).
2012-13 English Premier League Golden Boot Odds & Predictions
|Robin Van Persie||11.00|
Van Persie may or may not be in the EPL this upcoming season, so he may not even be able to try to retain his golden boot title that he won with 30 goals last year. Rooney played great last season and my money is on Rooney winning the golden boot this year although I also think he’ll be challenged by Adebayor and Dempsey at the top.
Aguero finished in 3rd place for goals scored last season and he’s the favourite this season. I think Aguero will regress and won’t be at the top of the golden boot table this upcoming season. Mario Balotelli is paying 21.00 odds and after his performance this year at the European Championship he’s been getting some money bet on him.
Balotelli scored 13 goals only last season, but I think he’ll score over 20 goals this season. Demba Ba scored 16 goals last season and he could be another player to watch for at the top of the golden boot table. This market is always wide open, but it provides entertainment throughout the entire EPL season and the potential payouts are enticing.
2011-12 English Premier League Betting Recap & Statistics
Last season was one of the most exciting EPL seasons in history. Manchester City ended up winning the title after it looked like they had no chance near the end of the season. A stunning last Matchday concluded the season with Manchester City scoring 2 goals in stoppage time to win against QPR and secure the title on goal differential.
With the 2012-13 starting shortly I not only wanted to preview the upcoming season, but I also wanted to take a look back on the previous season to help punters with betting this season. We’re going to look at some stats from last season to conclude our preview for the upcoming 2012-13 English Premier League season.
2011-12 EPL Top 5 Goalscorers
- Robert Van Persie (Arsenal) – 30 Goals (17 Home Goals vs. 13 Away Goals)
- Wayne Rooney (Manchester United) – 27 Goals (17 Home Goals vs. 10 Away Goals)
- Sergio Aguero (Manchester City) – 23 Goals (16 Home Goals vs. 7 Away Goals)
- Yakubu Aiyegbeni (Blackburn) – 17 Goals (11 Home Goals vs. 6 Away Goals)
- Emmanuel Adebayor (Tottenham) – 17 Goals (9 Home Goals vs. 8 Away Goals)
- Clint Dempsey (Fulham) – 17 Goals (12 Home Goals vs. 5 Away Goals)
2011-12 EPL Correct Score (FT) Trends
- Correct Score 1-1 (45 Matches) – 11.84% of Matches
- Correct Score 1-2 (34 Matches) – 8.95% of Matches
- Correct Score 1-0 (33 Matches) – 8.68% of Matches
- Correct Score 2-1 (30 Matches) – 7.89% of Matches
- Correct Score 2-0 (30 Matches) – 7.89% of Matches
2011-12 EPL Clean Sheet Stats
Last season Manchester City led the EPL with 20 clean sheets in 38 matches (52.6%). Manchester United ended the season with a total of 17 clean sheets (44.7%) and there were multiple other teams that had a clean sheet in over 30% of their matches. Three of the teams ended the year with only 3 clean sheets, but the only team that wasn’t relegated was Norwich City. If Norwich can’t improve on defence this year they may find themselves outside of the EPL for the 2013-14 season.
2011-12 EPL Betting Quick Stats
- Home Wins – 45%
- Draws – 24%
- Away Wins – 31%
- Goals Per Game – 2.80
- Home Goals Per Game – 1.60
- Away Goals Per Game 1.20
- Over 2.5 Goals – 54% / Under 2.5 Goals 46%